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My impression is the actual climate situation is quite a bit worse
than the public is being told. Scientists active in the field
complain in private that the IPCC's function is to water down the
findings because the reality is far beyond what politicians can
admit in public and remain in office.<br>
<br>
That said, we climate activists need to be very careful to always
speak with scientific accuracy. Every mistake or distortion is
carefully recorded by the denialist campaign, and never goes
away. Some of the most persuasive talking points in that campaign
are exaggerated predictions from decades past which didn't come
true. Rush Limbaugh's web site has a countdown to the day and
minute when Al Gore said New York would be under water, Hurricane
Sandy notwithstanding.<br>
<br>
There's a rich irony here. No scientist positively attributes any
particular extreme weather event to global warming. That's
despite the fact that we are beginning to get large events which
were highly improbable (p < 0.01) before the current
temperature anomaly. Climate models don't predict such brief
events as a single warm winter. They just say warm winters are
more likely.<br>
<br>
I'm here to congratulate Wes for getting it exactly right. May we
all speak as carefully and as authoritatively, citing real
evidence, as he does.<br>
<br>
-<i>Cameron</i><br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
On 04/14/2014 07:17 AM, Wes Rolley wrote:<br>
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I went to a fruit growers meeting on Saturday. Interesting topic
was the fact that no one has good cherry crops in the South County
this year. Not in Morgan Hill, not in Gilroy, not even down in
Hollister (San Benito County). <br>
<br>
Lest you think that the culprit might be colony collapse disorder
in bees, or drought, the information that I was given by a
respected Morgan Hill Grower is simply that it was too warm this
winter... or conversely, there was not enough hours of chill (850
for many varieties) to trigger the right response in most cherry
varieties. So, localvores beware, cherries will be much more
expensive if they are available at all before Washington crops
come in... and those will not be local. <br>
<br>
Why do I post this? Because both the drought and the effect of
rising temperatures on food prices are both features of climate
change that the scientists have been warning us about. <br>
<div class="moz-signature">-- <br>
"Anytime you have an opportunity to make things better and you
don't, then you are wasting your time on this Earth" - <i>Roberto
Clemente</i></div>
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