[GPSCC-chat] AAAS: Climate change may trigger 'abrupt' world-wide consequences
Leedobell
leedobell at aol.com
Sun Apr 6 22:39:29 PDT 2014
I think we need to do something to say "Thank you" to Katherine Hayhoe for having the guts to put her name on the report.
Caroline
-----Original Message-----
From: Wes Rolley <wrolley at charter.net>
To: Post South SF Bay discuss <sosfbay-discuss at cagreens.org>
Sent: Wed, Mar 19, 2014 9:43 am
Subject: Re: [GPSCC-chat] AAAS: Climate change may trigger 'abrupt' world-wide consequences
On 3/19/2014 3:48 AM, Spencer Graves wrote:
<snip>
p.s. Might someone have time to skim the full AAAS report? If yes, I'd like to know if it mentions "chaos theory" or "catastrophe theory". I believe it should be cited in relevant Wikipedia articles. I don't have time at the moment to do that research, but I could help someone else with the knowledge to make appropriate changes to Wikipedia.
Spencer, the full article is a very good summary statement of what is known and what is still un-known and has no reference to chaos theory. While risk assessment is a major subject in the report, it is referenced in terms of "tail risk".
Where there is a range of uncertainty, the high-side projections represent tail risk, a common
concept in the world of finance.
It is probably appropriate to express things in this manner as the terminology isin fairly common parlance from the discussion of the financial meltdown that we have just gone through. It is the financial risk of climate change that will probably drive much of the changes we need as insurance companies, real estate investment trusts, etc. take action to protect their assets. Consider what a 7 ft. sea level rise would do to S. Florida real estate.
As the Daily Climate summarizes this: "The significance of Tuesday's report lies not in its findings, which cover familiar ground, but in who is saying it: the world's largest general scientific body, and one of its most respected." It should be deeply disconcerting to deniers that Katherine Hayhoe's name is on the report as she is political conservative (Republican?) and an Evangelical Christian.
--
"Anytime you have an opportunity to make things better and you don't, then you are wasting your time on this Earth" - Roberto Clemente
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