[GPSCC-chat] Prop 34 and 37 too close to call

John Thielking pagesincolor at yahoo.com
Wed Nov 7 08:41:42 PST 2012


As of right now, http://vote.sos.ca.gov/returns/ballot-measures/ is reporting that Prop 37 has 53% no votes while Prop 34 has 52.7% no votes. Last night, with 25% of the precincts reporting the no votes on 37 were at 57-58%.  In my opinion these figures are too close to call a winner/loser at this point as up to 25% of the vote has yet to be counted.  More than 1/2 of the expected 12 million votes cast in this election in CA are being cast by mail. The statewide vote totals on the above web site are at only 9 million with 98.5% of the precincts partially reporting. LA county alone (where Prop 37 is leading by 51.5% yes votes, which also improved overnight from 55% no votes) is estimated to have 1.5 million mail in ballots (probably 1/2 of which still need to be counted).  If prop 37 loses, I'm predicting it will lose by less than 1%.  The exit poll reported by www.rt.com (just once on their cable broadcast at 7:30PM last night) had prop 37 winning.
 Good luck and keep your fingers crossed.
 
At least this time around the Green Party can't be accused of being a spoiler.
 
Next step if prop 37 or prop 34 lose: Try again in 2014 or 2016.  Prop 36 initially lost by a narrow margin back in 2004.  Look at it now.  It is winning by a landslide.
 
John Thielking
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