[GPSCC-chat] Check out this Newsmax poll Re: Govt shutdown

[Spencer Graves]

Hi, Caroline:


       Might it be convenient for you to provide links to the other 
polls you've seen?


       To be precise, the results of any poll depend on both what and 
whom you ask.  Some pollsters work very hard to understand public 
sentiment.  Others conduct polls to support their propaganda. Each 
polling organization has a reputation, and one can compare results based 
on the reputation of the polling organization.  Beyond asking about the 
reputation of the organization, you can ask how the questions were 
worded, how the respondents were selected, and how the questions were 
posed.


       In 1936, Literary Digest magazine predicted that the Republican 
Alf Landon would beat Roosevelt by a landslide. Roosevelt got 61%.  His 
victory was predicted by George Gallop. However, many people didn't 
believe Gallop, because the Literary Digest had successfully predicted 
the outcomes of the presidential elections of 1920, 1924, 1928, and 
1932.  Literary Digest asked their (high income) subscribers to mail in 
a post card with their preferred candidate.  That method worked in 1920, 
1924, 1928 and 1932.  In 1936, the 99% supported the New Deal, despised 
by readers of the Literary Digest.  Gallop was meticulous about his 
methodology.  Literary Digest ceased publication in 1938:  It's wealthy 
subscribers could not afford to be so misinformed.


       Best Wishes,
       Spencer


On 10/7/2013 2:23 PM, Caroline Yacoub wrote:
> I've seen at least three other polls that are completely in the other 
> direction. However, the results of any poll depend on whom you ask.
> Caroline
>
> *From:* Drew <rainbeaufriend at riseup.net>
> *To:* John Thielking <pagesincolor at yahoo.com>
> *Cc:* Greens Discussion List <sosfbay-discuss at cagreens.org>; Donna 
> Wallach <palestineis at dslextreme.com>
> *Sent:* Monday, October 7, 2013 1:40 PM
> *Subject:* Re: [GPSCC-chat] Check out this Newsmax poll Re: Govt shutdown
>
> Newsmax is just like Fox News.  Completely right wing propaganda.
> Everyone should do the world a favor and vow to never read Newsmax.
>
> Green is truth!
>
> Drew
>
> > This is pretty depressing, if it reflects mainstream views, which it
> > likely doesn't.
> >
> > Should Congress risk a govt shutdown to defund Obamacare?
> >
> > 60% Yes cut all funding
> >
> > 39% No, keep the govt running even if this means funding Obamacare.
> >
> >
> >
> > Do you support a one year delay in the individual mandate of Obamacare?
> >
> > 20% Yes delay it for one year.
> >
> > 34% No, implement the full law now.
> >
> > 45% Obamacare and all of its provisions should be repealed.
> >
> > If the federal govt does shut down who would you blame the most?
> >
> > 52% President Barack Obama
> >
> > 36% Republicans in Congress
> >
> >
> > 11% Democrats in Congress
> >
> >
> >
> >
> > http://www.newsmax.com/Surveys/Results/id/91
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-- 
Spencer Graves, PE, PhD
President and Chief Technology Officer
Structure Inspection and Monitoring, Inc.
751 Emerson Ct.
San José, CA 95126
ph:  408-655-4567
web:  www.structuremonitoring.com

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